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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
General
Publisher Penguin
ISBN 9780141034591
Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Book Conditions Condition B
Pages
Publisher Date 2008/01
  • In Stock: 1
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RM19.50
RM58.00
Ex Tax: RM19.50
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the ‘experts’, The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty.